How This Phase of the Israel-Iran War Will End
Even in the worst-case scenario, Tehran will emerge severely weakened.
June 17, 2025
Four experts weigh in.
On Sunday evening, Tikvah convened a special briefing over Zoom to discuss the events of the past few days. Taking part in the conversation, moderated by Mosaic’s editor Jonathan Silver, were Elliott Abrams, a veteran foreign-policy hand who played a role in crucial moments in U.S.-Israel relations under multiple presidents; Assaf Orion, a retired IDF general and leading strategic analyst; John Spencer, one of America’s sharpest military scholars; and Amiad Cohen, who, besides his active career in the world of Israeli policymaking, has spent much of the past twenty months serving as a reserve officer in Lebanon. (Video, 65 minutes. We hope to make a transcript available later this week.)
Even in the worst-case scenario, Tehran will emerge severely weakened.
Four experts weigh in.
No, attacks won’t strengthen the regime.
Don’t dismiss the most popular institutions.
The Dothan experiment, sixteen years later.
On Sunday evening, Tikvah convened a special briefing over Zoom to discuss the events of the past few days. Taking part in the conversation, moderated by Mosaic’s editor Jonathan Silver, were Elliott Abrams, a veteran foreign-policy hand who played a role in crucial moments in U.S.-Israel relations under multiple presidents; Assaf Orion, a retired IDF general and leading strategic analyst; John Spencer, one of America’s sharpest military scholars; and Amiad Cohen, who, besides his active career in the world of Israeli policymaking, has spent much of the past twenty months serving as a reserve officer in Lebanon. (Video, 65 minutes. We hope to make a transcript available later this week.)
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