Tikvah
Editors’ Pick

July 2, 2025

The High Stakes of the Twelve-Day War

Why Israel struck when it did, and how it avoided catastrophe.

Iran failed to mount a catastrophic retaliation against Israel because most of Hizballah’s missile stockpiles had been destroyed; because Hamas is spent as an offensive fighting force; because Syria (thanks in large part to the collapse of Hizballah) is no longer an Iranian satrapy; because Iran’s militias in Iraq are themselves deterred from attacking Israel; and because even the Houthis have lost some of their capabilities.

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