The Dangers of the Cease-Fire in Lebanon
What might make this truce different from the last one.
April 20, 2026
Its survival is no victory.
On the one hand, Iran has suffered devastating losses to its leadership, military infrastructure, stockpiles of weapons, and the industrial base it needs to produce more. On the other hand, it can still claim that it went toe-to-toe with a superpower, and its most capable ally, and survived. To make sense of the situation, Hassan Hassan and Kamran Bokhari look back at how Washington and Jerusalem have changed the equation of a conflict that began in 1979, and conclude that the Iranian regime has been “hollowed out” irreparably:
What might make this truce different from the last one.
Its survival is no victory.
The Jewish state must start making its own arms.
A celebrated Scottish novelist’s conversion to Catholicism.
“First fruits,” “blossom,” and “season.”
On the one hand, Iran has suffered devastating losses to its leadership, military infrastructure, stockpiles of weapons, and the industrial base it needs to produce more. On the other hand, it can still claim that it went toe-to-toe with a superpower, and its most capable ally, and survived. To make sense of the situation, Hassan Hassan and Kamran Bokhari look back at how Washington and Jerusalem have changed the equation of a conflict that began in 1979, and conclude that the Iranian regime has been “hollowed out” irreparably:
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