The Turkish-Russian Ceasefire in Syria, and Its Implications for Israel
Russia has greater clout, and will tolerate attacks on its allies.
March 19, 2020
Russia has greater clout, and will tolerate attacks on its allies.
In recent weeks, the assault by Bashar al-Assad and his Iranian and Russian allies on the Idlib province in northwestern Syria has created the greatest humanitarian crisis of the nine-year civil war. The incursion has displaced roughly one-million civilians over a 60-day period that began when the pro-Assad coalition pushed past the boundaries of the 2018 Sochi ceasefire. This led Ankara to respond with its most aggressive intervention to date, in which it succeeded in destroying Syrian positions and demonstrating some degree of tactical superiority. Nevertheless, at Gallia Lindenstrauss, Daniel Rakov, and Remi Daniel explain, the new ceasefire between Turkey and Russia shows that Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan failed to achieve any of his strategic goals:
Russia has greater clout, and will tolerate attacks on its allies.
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In recent weeks, the assault by Bashar al-Assad and his Iranian and Russian allies on the Idlib province in northwestern Syria has created the greatest humanitarian crisis of the nine-year civil war. The incursion has displaced roughly one-million civilians over a 60-day period that began when the pro-Assad coalition pushed past the boundaries of the 2018 Sochi ceasefire. This led Ankara to respond with its most aggressive intervention to date, in which it succeeded in destroying Syrian positions and demonstrating some degree of tactical superiority. Nevertheless, at Gallia Lindenstrauss, Daniel Rakov, and Remi Daniel explain, the new ceasefire between Turkey and Russia shows that Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan failed to achieve any of his strategic goals:
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